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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.2k
BUY No @ 99.3¢ · 10,233 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet stupid22 took No (buy) for $10.2k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $10.2k
- Placed
- Sep 18, 12:12 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- stupid22
- Tx
- 0x4f565e9a…
This wallet's graded record
10/12-8.5 pts
expected 11.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $108.5k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $190.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $11.7k | excluded |