← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.7k
BUY No @ 97.8¢ · 12,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet thoodr took No (buy) for $11.7k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.7k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4445American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.8¢
- Implied odds
- 97.8%
- Size
- $11.7k
- Placed
- Sep 01, 02:31 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- thoodr
- Tx
- 0xcf277477…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+5.2 pts
expected 4.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $108.5k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $190.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $10.2k | excluded |