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Chiefs vs. Dolphinsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $47.9k on not Chiefs, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Chiefs vs. Dolphinsmissed$47.9k
SELL Chiefs @ 84¢ · 57,017 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x9f15…bdb3 took Chiefs (sell) for $47.9k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $47.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 16.0%
- As American odds
- +525 no vig
- Size
- $47.9k
- Placed
- Sep 25, 19:51 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 27, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Chiefs
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x9f15…bdb3
- Tx
- 0xef9035d3…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-14.5 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -16 ptsChiefs price · entry 84¢ · resolved Chiefs · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $174.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Dolphins @ 16¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 83¢ | $75.3k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 88¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 89¢ | $16.4k | excluded |