← Wallets
−$8,935Yes · avg 49¢ → 44¢ · $89.0k−$32.4kYes · avg 58¢ → 42¢ · $83.0k+$1,598No · avg 63¢ → 86¢ · $6,073
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +2.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+2.9 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$2.39M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$270.6k
Last 30 days −$377.9k · $11.98M volume · 1,053 trades · since Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$101.3k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$168.5k
Closed-position win rate
69%
42 closed
Wallet age · markets
97d
43 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +32.4 pts |
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -26.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Steelers vs. Buccaneers | LOW SELL Steelers @ 99.9¢ | $129.8k | excluded |
| Steelers vs. Buccaneers | MED BUY Steelers @ 88¢ | $114.4k | excluded |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos | MED BUY Broncos @ 90¢ | $198.0k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | MED BUY Bills @ 68¢ | $133.3k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 64¢ | $73.4k | excluded |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | HIGH SELL Falcons @ 35¢ | $280.3k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Ravens vs. Falcons | MED BUY Falcons @ 91¢ | $210.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | MED BUY Buccaneers @ 89¢ | $158.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Falcons vs. Saints | LOW BUY Falcons @ 61¢ | $71.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Panthers | MED SELL Panthers @ 92.1¢ | $103.5k | excluded |
| Jaguars vs. Bengals | LOW BUY Jaguars @ 80¢ | $44.0k | excluded |
| Steelers vs. Browns | LOW BUY Browns @ 88¢ | $67.3k | excluded |
| Rams vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Rams @ 51¢ | $51.0k | excluded |
| Rams vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Rams @ 65¢ | $62.8k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $174.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 83¢ | $75.3k | excluded |
| Falcons vs. Packers | LOW BUY Falcons @ 92¢ | $65.5k | excluded |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $44.0k | excluded |
| Cowboys vs. Giants | MED BUY Giants @ 67¢ | $108.8k | excluded |
| 49ers vs. Rams | MED BUY 49ers @ 95¢ | $101.7k | excluded |
| 49ers vs. Rams | LOW SELL Rams @ 11¢ | $23.1k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 26¢ | $10.4k | missed |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $49.1k | called |
 Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 61¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
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