Tuesday, August 18, 2026

42 whale trades totalling $1.32M from 34 wallets. Biggest: $192.0k buy Yes on “Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?” at 48¢. 7 of 13 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 8.5 expected (-11.8 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?	MED BUY Yes @ 48¢	$192.0k	48%	3edmond.dantes	66d ago	excluded
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$166.8k 6.7× usual	99%	0x4488…e319	66d ago	excluded
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	MED BUY Yes @ 75¢	$150.0k	75%	kindar	66d ago	called	Trade this
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	MED SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 64¢	$71.3k 2.5× usual	36%	0x5f65…2036	66d ago	excluded
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$54.5k 2.1× usual	99%	WordleAddict	67d ago	excluded
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs	MED BUY BoomBoys @ 28¢	$43.3k	28%	SPCEXBUYER	66d ago	missed	Trade this
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$40.2k	1%	anoin123	66d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	LOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 57¢	$35.0k	57%	0x5f65…2036	66d ago	excluded
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$34.9k	100%	zb8	67d ago	excluded
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$33.8k	99%	AngryRhino	67d ago	excluded
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢	$30.1k	99%	scottilicious PROVEN	67d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	LOW SELL Brandon Nakashima @ 99.9¢	$24.1k	0%	AV23IUa PROVEN	66d ago	excluded
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	LOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 58¢	$23.5k	58%	Vps1	67d ago	missed	Trade this
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	LOW BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 58¢	$22.0k	58%	0xf559…f462	67d ago	missed	Trade this
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢	$21.1k	71%	ScottyNooo PROVEN	66d ago	missed	Trade this

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?excluded

BUY Yes @ 48¢$192.0k

MED 3edmond.dantes · 66d ago

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$166.8k

LOW 0x4488…e319 · 66d ago

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?called

BUY Yes @ 75¢$150.0k

MED kindar · 66d ago

Trade this

Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevexcluded

SELL Daniil Medvedev @ 64¢$71.3k

MED 0x5f65…2036 · 66d ago

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$54.5k

LOW WordleAddict · 67d ago

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsmissed

BUY BoomBoys @ 28¢$43.3k

MED SPCEXBUYER · 66d ago

Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.2¢$40.2k

LOW anoin123 · 66d ago

Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevexcluded

BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 57¢$35.0k

LOW 0x5f65…2036 · 66d ago

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$34.9k

LOW zb8 · 67d ago

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$33.8k

LOW AngryRhino · 67d ago

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?excluded

BUY No @ 99.1¢$30.1k

LOW PROVEN scottilicious · 67d ago

Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevexcluded

SELL Brandon Nakashima @ 99.9¢$24.1k

LOW PROVEN AV23IUa · 66d ago

Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevmissed

BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 58¢$23.5k

LOW Vps1 · 67d ago

Trade this

Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevmissed

BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 58¢$22.0k

LOW 0xf559…f462 · 67d ago

Trade this

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?missed

BUY Yes @ 71¢$21.1k

LOW PROVEN ScottyNooo · 66d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

$335.2k · 7 flags

Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev

$266.6k · 12 flags

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

$226.2k · 3 flags

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

$150.0k · 1 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

$67.9k · 3 flags

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

$63.6k · 3 flags