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What this means. A wallet put $30.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.5 pts over 26 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.1k
BUY No @ 99.1¢ · 30,372 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet scottilicious took No (buy) for $30.1k at an average 99.1¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.1k+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−11011American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.1¢
- Implied odds
- 99.1%
- Size
- $30.1k
- Placed
- Aug 18, 09:27 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 17, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- scottilicious
- Tx
- 0xfb19eddc…
This wallet's graded record
23/26+1.5 pts
expected 22.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $166.8k 6.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $54.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $33.8k | excluded |