Thursday, June 11, 2026

184 whale trades totalling $6.20M from 131 wallets. Biggest: $279.0k buy No on “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?” at 99.9¢. 5 of 11 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 6.0 expected (-8.7 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$279.0k 6.0× usual	100%	Oddinn	134d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.8¢	$254.6k 5.4× usual	100%	Oddinn	134d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.6¢	$254.2k 5.4× usual	100%	Oddinn	134d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.2¢	$231.1k 4.9× usual	1%	Oddinn	134d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	MED SELL 9z @ 99.9¢	$179.8k 9.0× usual	0%	arlanta	134d ago	excluded
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	MED BUY No @ 51¢	$168.3k	51%	doraem0n	134d ago	missed	Trade this
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	MED SELL No @ 94.3¢	$126.0k 3.8× usual	6%	Pajamapants	134d ago	called	Trade this
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 47¢	$119.9k 5.7× usual	47%	omnibus-076daa PROVEN	134d ago	missed	Trade this
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	MED BUY No @ 51¢	$115.8k	51%	blackmamba6969	134d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	MED BUY Yes @ 84¢	$106.3k 3.2× usual	84%	Pajamapants	134d ago	called	Trade this
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	MED BUY Yes @ 92¢	$105.8k 5.5× usual	92%	suntori LOSING	134d ago	missed	Trade this
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	LOW BUY Hurricanes @ 59¢	$100.0k	59%	NiNo999	134d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	MED BUY No @ 84¢	$99.1k 6.1× usual	84%	suvorov	134d ago	called	Trade this
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢	$88.1k 2.3× usual	99%	omnibus-424779	134d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢	$88.0k 2.3× usual	1%	omnibus-424779	134d ago	excluded

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$279.0k

MED Oddinn · 134d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$254.6k

MED Oddinn · 134d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$254.2k

MED Oddinn · 134d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.2¢$231.1k

MED Oddinn · 134d ago

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3excluded

SELL 9z @ 99.9¢$179.8k

MED arlanta · 134d ago

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?missed

BUY No @ 51¢$168.3k

MED doraem0n · 134d ago

Trade this

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?called

SELL No @ 94.3¢$126.0k

MED Pajamapants · 134d ago

Trade this

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?missed

BUY Yes @ 47¢$119.9k

HIGH PROVEN omnibus-076daa · 134d ago

Trade this

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?missed

BUY No @ 51¢$115.8k

MED blackmamba6969 · 134d ago

Trade this

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?called

BUY Yes @ 84¢$106.3k

MED Pajamapants · 134d ago

Trade this

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?missed

BUY Yes @ 92¢$105.8k

MED LOSING suntori · 134d ago

Trade this

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesexcluded

BUY Hurricanes @ 59¢$100.0k

LOW NiNo999 · 134d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?called

BUY No @ 84¢$99.1k

MED suvorov · 134d ago

Trade this

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.3¢$88.1k

LOW omnibus-424779 · 134d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.2¢$88.0k

LOW omnibus-424779 · 134d ago

Most traded markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

$817.1k · 12 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

$805.8k · 31 flags

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

$436.1k · 12 flags

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

$385.0k · 9 flags

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

$377.7k · 8 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

$327.3k · 4 flags