Daily recap
Sunday, February 15, 2026
342 whale trades totalling $7.51M from 192 wallets. Biggest: $468.2k buy No on “Government shutdown on Saturday?” at 99.8¢.
Whale trades
342
Volume
$7.51M
Wallets
192
Resolved edge
—
Biggest trades
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Government shutdown on Saturday? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $468.2k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $339.5k 8.8× usual |
excluded |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $266.5k 8.8× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $118.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 86¢ | $96.2k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $79.8k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $77.4k 3.0× usual |
missed |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $74.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $71.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $62.3k | called |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $59.3k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96¢ | $48.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
 Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $45.4k | excluded |
Most traded markets
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$4.96M · 266 flags
Government shutdown on Saturday?$1.19M · 8 flags
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$238.0k · 7 flags
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$190.5k · 19 flags
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$175.1k · 5 flags
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?$143.6k · 7 flags
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