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+$102.2kNo · avg 66¢ → 97.8¢ · $316.5k+$5,081No · avg 88¢ → 95.5¢ · $69.3k+$102No · avg 96.9¢ → 97.9¢ · $10.0k+$122No · avg 92.4¢ → 97.5¢ · $2,322+$1No · avg 96.9¢ → 97¢ · $1,148+$12Yes · avg 85¢ → 90¢ · $240+$1Yes · avg 97.9¢ → 98.4¢ · $196+$9Yes · avg 90.1¢ → 96.8¢ · $134
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$312.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$32.7k
Last 30 days +$5,008 · $1.37M volume · 1,328 trades · since Jan 12, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$5,776
Open P&L · 18 positions
+$106.7k
Closed-position win rate
92%
66 closed
Wallet age · markets
285d
80 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $85.1k | missed |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
 Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $110.5k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $62.3k | called |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x834965…