Friday, January 30, 2026

250 whale trades totalling $7.63M from 158 wallets. Biggest: $290.6k buy Trail Blazers on “Spread: Knicks (-7.5)” at 50¢. 226 of 346 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 207.4 expected (+5.4 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	HIGH BUY Trail Blazers @ 50¢	$290.6k	50%	0x4924…3782	266d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 95.7¢	$271.3k	96%	0xadde…e8ae	266d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	LOW BUY Yes @ 97.5¢	$203.2k 5.4× usual	97%	Erasmus. PROVEN	266d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	MED BUY Yes @ 89¢	$178.5k 5.4× usual	89%	0x090a…01b4	266d ago	called	Trade this
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 49¢	$177.9k 4.3× usual	49%	0x2c33…0563	266d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	MED BUY Yes @ 89¢	$154.4k 7.9× usual	89%	UwO	266d ago	called	Trade this
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev	MED BUY Alcaraz @ 50¢	$120.0k	50%	RealityTwister	267d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	MED BUY Yes @ 94¢	$110.8k 5.5× usual	94%	GroyperFinancialServices	266d ago	excluded
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 51¢	$107.3k 3.4× usual	51%	gmanas	266d ago	excluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$105.0k 2.1× usual	100%	elmcap2	266d ago	excluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.2k	100%	elmcap2	266d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	MED SELL Yes @ 94.8¢	$96.0k 3.7× usual	5%	arjennnnn	266d ago	excluded
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev	LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 97.8¢	$94.7k 4.4× usual	98%	TexMexTRex	267d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$90.9k	100%	0x0b88…2ecc	267d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$89.6k	0%	0x9c16…7e57	267d ago	excluded

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)excluded

BUY Trail Blazers @ 50¢$290.6k

HIGH 0x4924…3782 · 266d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

BUY Yes @ 95.7¢$271.3k

HIGH 0xadde…e8ae · 266d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

BUY Yes @ 97.5¢$203.2k

LOW PROVEN Erasmus. · 266d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?called

BUY Yes @ 89¢$178.5k

MED 0x090a…01b4 · 266d ago

Trade this

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)excluded

BUY Trail Blazers @ 49¢$177.9k

MED 0x2c33…0563 · 266d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?called

BUY Yes @ 89¢$154.4k

MED UwO · 266d ago

Trade this

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevexcluded

BUY Alcaraz @ 50¢$120.0k

MED RealityTwister · 267d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

BUY Yes @ 94¢$110.8k

MED GroyperFinancialServices · 266d ago

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)excluded

BUY Trail Blazers @ 51¢$107.3k

MED gmanas · 266d ago

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$105.0k

LOW elmcap2 · 266d ago

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.2k

LOW elmcap2 · 266d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

SELL Yes @ 94.8¢$96.0k

MED arjennnnn · 266d ago

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevexcluded

BUY Alcaraz @ 97.8¢$94.7k

LOW TexMexTRex · 267d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$90.9k

LOW 0x0b88…2ecc · 267d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$89.6k

LOW 0x9c16…7e57 · 267d ago

Most traded markets

US government shutdown Saturday?

$2.81M · 76 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$1.18M · 72 flags

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

$727.4k · 19 flags

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

$620.4k · 6 flags

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

$434.0k · 20 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

$386.1k · 7 flags