Thursday, January 29, 2026

193 whale trades totalling $4.79M from 120 wallets. Biggest: $125.6k buy No on “New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? ” at 99.9¢. 7 of 17 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 11.7 expected (-27.8 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$125.6k 2.5× usual	100%	elmcap2	267d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$113.4k	99%	0xc59a…3e10	267d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$99.3k	99%	0xce5b…047a	267d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$97.2k	1%	0xc59a…3e10	267d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$96.2k	99%	0xc59a…3e10	267d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$96.1k	1%	0xc59a…3e10	267d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	MED BUY No @ 79¢	$90.9k 2.4× usual	79%	Erasmus. PROVEN	267d ago	missed	Trade this
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina	LOW SELL Rybakina @ 99.9¢	$89.5k 2.3× usual	0%	Donghui	267d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	MED BUY Yes @ 66¢	$82.9k 3.6× usual	66%	anoin123	267d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$80.5k	1%	0xc59a…3e10	267d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	LOW SELL No @ 57¢	$72.7k 3.0× usual	43%	ImJustKen	267d ago	called	Trade this
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev	MED BUY Zverev @ 18¢	$72.6k	18%	BWArmageddon	267d ago	excluded
US government shutdown Saturday?	MED SELL Yes @ 75¢	$65.1k	25%	Labtrador	267d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$64.5k	99%	0xc59a…3e10	267d ago	excluded
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina	LOW BUY Rybakina @ 67¢	$60.0k	67%	Donghui	268d ago	called	Trade this

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$125.6k

LOW elmcap2 · 267d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$113.4k

LOW 0xc59a…3e10 · 267d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$99.3k

LOW 0xce5b…047a · 267d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.2¢$97.2k

LOW 0xc59a…3e10 · 267d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$96.2k

LOW 0xc59a…3e10 · 267d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.2¢$96.1k

LOW 0xc59a…3e10 · 267d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?missed

BUY No @ 79¢$90.9k

MED PROVEN Erasmus. · 267d ago

Trade this

Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinaexcluded

SELL Rybakina @ 99.9¢$89.5k

LOW Donghui · 267d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?called

BUY Yes @ 66¢$82.9k

MED anoin123 · 267d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.2¢$80.5k

LOW 0xc59a…3e10 · 267d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?called

SELL No @ 57¢$72.7k

LOW ImJustKen · 267d ago

Trade this

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevexcluded

BUY Zverev @ 18¢$72.6k

MED BWArmageddon · 267d ago

US government shutdown Saturday?missed

SELL Yes @ 75¢$65.1k

MED Labtrador · 267d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$64.5k

LOW 0xc59a…3e10 · 267d ago

Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinacalled

BUY Rybakina @ 67¢$60.0k

LOW Donghui · 268d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

US government shutdown Saturday?

$1.21M · 48 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$955.0k · 26 flags

Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina

$406.4k · 13 flags

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

$354.4k · 19 flags

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

$275.9k · 9 flags

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

$210.1k · 4 flags