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What this means. A wallet put $25.0k on Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.0k
BUY Alcaraz @ 85¢ · 29,412 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet vincentchase11 took Alcaraz (buy) for $25.0k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved Alcaraz, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alcaraz wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 85.0%
- As American odds
- −567 no vig
- Size
- $25.0k
- Placed
- Jan 29, 18:47 EST
- Market close
- Jan 29, 22:30 EST
- Result
- Alcaraz
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- vincentchase11
- Tx
- 0xc3e16ba4…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+4.4 pts
expected 4.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +15 ptsAlcaraz price · entry 85¢ · resolved Alcaraz
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $22.4k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $24.8k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev | MED BUY Alcaraz @ 57¢ | $75.5k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev | LOW BUY Zverev @ 72¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev | LOW SELL Zverev @ 72¢ | $14.4k | excluded |