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Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

OpenResolves Dec 31?Alert me on this market
Flags
1
Net whale flow → Yes
+$28.4k
Yes 7d ago → now
98.9¢→99.4¢
Category
Politics

Yes price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● open ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 99.4¢no rated wallets
  1. elmcap2$361.8k
  2. DFK$43.2k
  3. Car$25.6k
  4. 0xe639…082a$21.7k
  5. 57284910$17.4k
  6. 0xad96…d498$13.2k
  7. aviato$12.1k
  8. wish-$11.2k
  9. Avamax$9,935
  10. Alegrandebig$8,896
  11. JamesBonder007$7,948
  12. 0x8b4b…541b$7,523
No 0.7¢no rated wallets
  1. HoneybeeAlliance$799
  2. Vgsps11$650
  3. 0xfcab…3376$600
  4. Ondra$269
  5. tompekka7$192
  6. macrosteaks$130
  7. Cutesesi6969$114
  8. Peremiriya$97
  9. 0x79a1…34b5$94
  10. Ed2357$93
  11. 0x69e5…5a3d$93
  12. 0x4caa…aabd$88

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
Yes$28.4k
1 flag
none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
LOW BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ $28.4k99% elmcap215h agoOpenResolves Dec 31

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 1 whale trade on this market totalling $28.4k from 1 wallet. The largest was $28.4k (buy Yes at 98.8¢). Most whale money ($28.4k) went to Yes. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, elmcap2 ($28.4k), has called 1 of 1 graded flags overall (+3.1 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (will-the-2026-midterm-elections-happen-as-scheduled).