← Live flags
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
Resolved: Yes
Flags
21
Net whale flow → Yes
−$2.09M
Yes 7d ago → now
62¢→100¢
Category
Sports
Yes price
Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● pending ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Not Yes | $4.81M 5 flags |
$25.4k 1 wallet |
none |
| Yes | $3.19M 9 flags |
$15.0k 1 wallet |
none |
| No | $496.7k 6 flags |
none | none |
| Not No | $16.9k 1 flag |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $33.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $4.62M 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.2k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 91.5¢ | $25.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $24.8k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 36¢ | $366.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 35¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $64.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $36.0k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $2.97M | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 40¢ | $26.4k | missed |
| MED BUY No @ 40¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $40.0k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY No @ 38¢ | $17.6k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 21 whale trades on this market totalling $8.51M from 16 wallets. The largest was $4.62M (sell Yes at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($4.81M) went against Yes. 10 of 21 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, joseph00677 ($7.59M), has called 0 of 2 graded flags overall (-59.2 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (epl-not-ars-2026-10-18-ars).