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What this means. A wallet put $2.97M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$2.97M
BUY Yes @ 64¢ · 4,613,956 shares in 10 fills
Size ≥ $250k10 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet joseph00677 took Yes (buy) for $2.97M at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $2.97M+3
10 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−181American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 64.4%
- As American odds
- −181 no vig
- Size
- $2.97M
- Placed
- Oct 18, 10:38 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 18, 11:30 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- joseph00677
- Tx
- 0x4255681a…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-59.2 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +36 ptsYes price · entry 64¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $33.1k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $4.62M 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.2k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | MED SELL Yes @ 91.5¢ | $25.4k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | MED BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $30.3k | excluded |