WhaleGrader
Log inSign up
← Live flags

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

pending?Alert me on this market
Flags
6
Net whale flow → Yes
−$67.7k
Yes 7d ago → now
6.5¢→2.6¢
Category
Other

Yes price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● pending ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Smart gap
Proven money leans No at 97.4¢
Among the biggest holders: 0 proven wallets hold $0 of No; proven money on the other side $0, losing-record money there $2,097. Net +$2,097.
Based on 1 rated wallet among the top holders. A lean, not a prediction. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 2.6¢1 losing · $2,097
  1. tetrose$6,311
  2. betwick$5,341
  3. Maplesky$2,821
  4. aenews2 LOSING -17.8 pts$2,097
  5. tetrase$871
  6. 0xe234…304a$805
  7. AlphaBetaGamma2357$528
  8. LlamaLoco0000$451
  9. eightpenguins$430
  10. bernardbulletin$420
  11. LuckyMo$385
  12. BetZilla$380
No 97.4¢no rated wallets
  1. SDTrading$192.0k
  2. SlenderMan$148.9k
  3. 0xdea2…e981$78.8k
  4. 0x9e3e…f882$51.7k
  5. Specksalam$34.4k
  6. anoin123$33.8k
  7. dwarf123$32.7k
  8. ppxtu$22.2k
  9. DiaMat$21.9k
  10. NewChapp$21.6k
  11. AndreasASD$21.4k
  12. Binturung$20.7k

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$67.7k
4 flags
 none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $20.6k82% 0x16bb…849217h agopending
LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $13.3k85% 0x16bb…849219h agopending
LOW Yes UP +10.0 pts $356.2k
24h vol
18% —1d agopending
LOW BUY No @ 81¢ $15.5k81% 0x16bb…84921d agopending
LOW Yes UP +10.5 pts $167.4k
24h vol
20% —1d agopending
LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $18.4k90% 0x16bb…84921d agopending
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?pending
BUY No @ 82¢$20.6k
LOW 0x16bb…8492 · 17h ago
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?pending
BUY No @ 85¢$13.3k
LOW 0x16bb…8492 · 19h ago
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?pending
Yes UP +10.0 pts$356.2k
LOW Other · 1d ago
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?pending
BUY No @ 81¢$15.5k
LOW 0x16bb…8492 · 1d ago
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?pending
Yes UP +10.5 pts$167.4k
LOW Other · 1d ago
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?pending
BUY No @ 90¢$18.4k
LOW 0x16bb…8492 · 1d ago

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 4 whale trades on this market totalling $67.7k from 1 wallet. The largest was $20.6k (buy No at 82¢). Most whale money ($67.7k) went to No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, 0x16bb…8492 ($67.7k), has called 10 of 25 graded flags overall (-11.5 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (nato-x-russia-military-clash-by-october-31-2026).