← Wallets
+$3,156No · avg 83¢ → 97.7¢ · $20.8k+$1,116No · avg 72¢ → 82¢ · $10.1k−$1,765Yes · avg 6.4¢ → 3¢ · $1,561+$113Yes · avg 86¢ → 97.3¢ · $973+$30No · avg 80¢ → 83¢ · $830 · 1 proven with, 0 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +41.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+41.4 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$15.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$12.3k
Last 30 days +$3,832 · $1.29M volume · 851 trades · since Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$14.4k
Open P&L · 5 positions
+$2,650
Closed-position win rate
66%
61 closed
Wallet age · markets
209d
65 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +41.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 41¢ | $15.7k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9589a0…