Thursday, August 13, 2026

63 whale trades totalling $2.06M from 51 wallets. Biggest: $249.8k buy No on “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?” at 99.5¢. 9 of 13 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 9.1 expected (-0.9 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$249.8k 8.2× usual	100%	foodenjoyer	71d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LOW SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢	$168.8k 8.4× usual	0%	0xe16d…5e30	71d ago	excluded
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees	MED BUY New York Yankees @ 59¢	$115.8k	59%	Weaseloftheweek	71d ago	missed	Trade this
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees	MED BUY New York Yankees @ 59¢	$90.4k 4.1× usual	59%	Pwaddler	71d ago	missed	Trade this
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$89.8k	100%	033033033	71d ago	excluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	MED BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 67¢	$81.9k 2.2× usual	67%	0x3dfb…abaf	71d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	LOW BUY No @ 97.6¢	$78.1k 2.6× usual	98%	Trump2028	71d ago	excluded
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage	MED BUY TEAM VISION @ 58¢	$55.0k 2.7× usual	58%	0xe16d…5e30	71d ago	excluded
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner	MED BUY Team Spirit @ 62¢	$40.0k	62%	0xe16d…5e30	71d ago	excluded
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	LOW BUY BNK FEARX @ 99¢	$36.9k	99%	Malfunction.	71d ago	excluded
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	LOW SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢	$35.0k 2.2× usual	0%	BBQChickenisthebesttt	71d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 72¢	$34.7k	72%	neutralwave23 PROVEN	71d ago	missed	Trade this
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	LOW SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢	$32.7k	0%	vv-vv	71d ago	excluded
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage	LOW BUY TEAM VISION @ 60¢	$31.8k	60%	0x2c33…0563	71d ago	excluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢	$30.5k	98%	odsowner	71d ago	excluded

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$249.8k

LOW foodenjoyer · 71d ago

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerexcluded

SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢$168.8k

LOW 0xe16d…5e30 · 71d ago

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesmissed

BUY New York Yankees @ 59¢$115.8k

MED Weaseloftheweek · 71d ago

Trade this

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesmissed

BUY New York Yankees @ 59¢$90.4k

MED Pwaddler · 71d ago

Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$89.8k

LOW 033033033 · 71d ago

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersexcluded

BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 67¢$81.9k

MED 0x3dfb…abaf · 71d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?excluded

BUY No @ 97.6¢$78.1k

LOW Trump2028 · 71d ago

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stageexcluded

BUY TEAM VISION @ 58¢$55.0k

MED 0xe16d…5e30 · 71d ago

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerexcluded

BUY Team Spirit @ 62¢$40.0k

MED 0xe16d…5e30 · 71d ago

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupexcluded

BUY BNK FEARX @ 99¢$36.9k

LOW Malfunction. · 71d ago

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupexcluded

SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢$35.0k

LOW BBQChickenisthebesttt · 71d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?missed

BUY Yes @ 72¢$34.7k

MED PROVEN neutralwave23 · 71d ago

Trade this

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupexcluded

SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢$32.7k

LOW vv-vv · 71d ago

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stageexcluded

BUY TEAM VISION @ 60¢$31.8k

LOW 0x2c33…0563 · 71d ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 98.5¢$30.5k

LOW odsowner · 71d ago

Most traded markets

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees

$288.8k · 6 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

$249.8k · 1 flags

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner

$223.2k · 3 flags

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

$189.6k · 9 flags

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

$160.6k · 6 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

$143.5k · 4 flags