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What this means. A wallet put $90.4k on New York Yankees, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$90.4k
BUY New York Yankees @ 59¢ · 153,139 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1h4.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Pwaddler took New York Yankees (buy) for $90.4k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Seattle Mariners, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $90.4k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−144American odds
$1.00paid per share if New York Yankees wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.0%
- As American odds
- −144 no vig
- Size
- $90.4k
- Placed
- Aug 13, 11:31 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 13, 13:35 EDT
- Result
- Seattle Mariners
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pwaddler
- Tx
- 0xa673a04e…
This wallet's graded record
5/12-16.3 pts
expected 7.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -59 ptsNew York Yankees price · entry 59¢ · resolved Seattle Mariners
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Seattle Mariners @ 84¢ | $25.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY New York Yankees @ 53¢ | $27.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Seattle Mariners @ 36¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY New York Yankees @ 59¢ | $115.8k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Seattle Mariners @ 43¢ | $19.4k | called |