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What this means. A wallet put $249.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 15 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$249.8k
BUY No @ 99.5¢ · 251,032 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)8.2× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet foodenjoyer took No (buy) for $249.8k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $249.8k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 99.5%
- Size
- $249.8k
- Placed
- Aug 13, 09:53 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- foodenjoyer
- Tx
- 0xe5dc2f4b…
This wallet's graded record
13/15+11.7 pts
expected 11.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $99.0k 4.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $28.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $44.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $15.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $49.5k | excluded |