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+$0No · avg 98.1¢ → 98.4¢ · $8+$0No · avg 92¢ → 92.5¢ · $7
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +3.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+3.1 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$40.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$6,700
Last 30 days +$6,524 · $1.65M volume · 3,100 trades · since Sep 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$6,862
Open P&L · 3 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
46%
286 closed
Wallet age · markets
389d
256 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +3.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $12.8k | called |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
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