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What this means. A wallet put $99.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?excluded
$99.0k
SELL No @ 99¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)4.6× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet pilimili took No (sell) for $99.0k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $99.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99¢
Implied odds
1.0%
Size
$99.0k
Placed
Aug 10, 11:39 EDT
Market close
Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
pilimili
Tx
0xd4aafd81…
This wallet's graded record
9/17+9.6 pts
expected 7.4 from price

Other flags on this market

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