Tuesday, August 11, 2026

50 whale trades totalling $1.65M from 43 wallets. Biggest: $266.1k sell Rafael Jodar on “National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils” at 99.9¢. 5 of 8 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 4.1 expected (+10.8 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	MED SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢	$266.1k 3.6× usual	0%	TennisLove	73d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	LOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢	$181.2k 3.0× usual	0%	Weaseloftheweek	73d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	MED BUY Rafael Jodar @ 58¢	$152.9k 2.1× usual	58%	TennisLove	73d ago	called	Trade this
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$94.7k 2.6× usual	0%	DonaldinhoTrumpito	73d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	MED BUY Arthur Fils @ 44¢	$66.0k	44%	0x2c33…0563	73d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	LOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 56¢	$61.3k	44%	Weaseloftheweek	73d ago	missed	Trade this
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	LOW BUY Rafael Jodar @ 58¢	$53.1k 2.7× usual	58%	0xf559…f462	73d ago	excluded
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils	MED SELL Rafael Jodar @ 57¢	$36.1k	43%	Weaseloftheweek	74d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢	$34.0k	40%	yungstalin	74d ago	called	Trade this
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)	MED BUY Islam Makhachev @ 76¢	$33.0k	76%	SupermanJoe NEW	73d ago	called	Trade this
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$30.4k	0%	anoin123	73d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$29.9k	0%	pmwinner	73d ago	excluded
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	LOW BUY No @ 82¢	$25.5k	82%	disputequant	73d ago	missed	Trade this
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	LOW SELL No @ 96.1¢	$24.7k	4%	DonaldinhoTrumpito	73d ago	missed	Trade this
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢	$24.6k	95%	Votei14Voude22	73d ago	excluded

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsexcluded

SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢$266.1k

MED TennisLove · 73d ago

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsexcluded

SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢$181.2k

LOW Weaseloftheweek · 73d ago

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filscalled

BUY Rafael Jodar @ 58¢$152.9k

MED TennisLove · 73d ago

Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$94.7k

LOW DonaldinhoTrumpito · 73d ago

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsexcluded

BUY Arthur Fils @ 44¢$66.0k

MED 0x2c33…0563 · 73d ago

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsmissed

SELL Rafael Jodar @ 56¢$61.3k

LOW Weaseloftheweek · 73d ago

Trade this

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsexcluded

BUY Rafael Jodar @ 58¢$53.1k

LOW 0xf559…f462 · 73d ago

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsmissed

SELL Rafael Jodar @ 57¢$36.1k

MED Weaseloftheweek · 74d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 40¢$34.0k

LOW yungstalin · 74d ago

Trade this

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)called

BUY Islam Makhachev @ 76¢$33.0k

MED New wallet SupermanJoe · 73d ago

Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$30.4k

LOW anoin123 · 73d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$29.9k

LOW pmwinner · 73d ago

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?missed

BUY No @ 82¢$25.5k

LOW disputequant · 73d ago

Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?missed

SELL No @ 96.1¢$24.7k

LOW DonaldinhoTrumpito · 73d ago

Trade this

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 95¢$24.6k

LOW Votei14Voude22 · 73d ago

Most traded markets

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils

$937.0k · 16 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

$215.4k · 6 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

$127.1k · 7 flags

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

$93.8k · 5 flags

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?

$54.0k · 3 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

$53.6k · 3 flags