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What this means. A wallet put $61.3k on not Rafael Jodar, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$61.3k
SELL Rafael Jodar @ 56¢ · 109,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Weaseloftheweek took Rafael Jodar (sell) for $61.3k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved Rafael Jodar, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $61.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 44.0%
- As American odds
- +127 no vig
- Size
- $61.3k
- Placed
- Aug 11, 09:16 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 11, 14:20 EDT
- Result
- Rafael Jodar
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Weaseloftheweek
- Tx
- 0xe7ca387f…
This wallet's graded record
1/7-37.3 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -44 ptsRafael Jodar price · entry 56¢ · resolved Rafael Jodar · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | LOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | LOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢ | $181.2k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | MED SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢ | $266.1k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | LOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | LOW BUY Arthur Fils @ 23¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | LOW BUY Rafael Jodar @ 59¢ | $19.7k | excluded |