Thursday, May 28, 2026

158 whale trades totalling $7.89M from 124 wallets. Biggest: $1.02M buy No on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?” at 91.1¢. 6 of 16 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 8.0 expected (-12.7 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	HIGH BUY No @ 91.1¢	$1.02M 8.7× usual	91%	0x0f02…5bfb NEW	149d ago	called	Trade this
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	HIGH BUY No @ 93.6¢	$721.2k 6.1× usual	94%	0x0f02…5bfb NEW	149d ago	called	Trade this
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	HIGH BUY Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 65¢	$427.0k	65%	beachboy4	148d ago	excluded
Thunder vs. Spurs	LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢	$234.8k 7.8× usual	100%	rwo	148d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	HIGH BUY No @ 90¢	$200.0k	90%	0x0f02…5bfb NEW	148d ago	called	Trade this
Thunder vs. Spurs	MED SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢	$184.8k 6.2× usual	0%	rwo	148d ago	excluded
Thunder vs. Spurs	MED BUY Thunder @ 41¢	$177.0k	41%	loulou2	148d ago	missed	Trade this
Thunder vs. Spurs	MED BUY Spurs @ 67¢	$173.7k 3.2× usual	67%	Vatrer	148d ago	excluded
Thunder vs. Spurs	MED BUY Thunder @ 41¢	$171.5k 2.8× usual	41%	surfandturf LOSING	148d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 88¢	$169.2k	88%	aekghas	148d ago	called	Trade this
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 77¢	$166.7k	77%	aekghas	148d ago	called	Trade this
Thunder vs. Spurs	MED BUY Thunder @ 41¢	$164.0k	41%	Sassy-Bucket	148d ago	missed	Trade this
Thunder vs. Spurs	MED BUY Spurs @ 96.3¢	$162.0k 6.4× usual	96%	08AF	148d ago	excluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 77¢	$159.6k	77%	aekghas	148d ago	called	Trade this
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$119.1k 2.3× usual	100%	JAHODA	149d ago	excluded

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 91.1¢$1.02M

HIGH New wallet 0x0f02…5bfb · 149d ago

Trade this

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 93.6¢$721.2k

HIGH New wallet 0x0f02…5bfb · 149d ago

Trade this

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasexcluded

BUY Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 65¢$427.0k

HIGH beachboy4 · 148d ago

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢$234.8k

LOW rwo · 148d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 90¢$200.0k

HIGH New wallet 0x0f02…5bfb · 148d ago

Trade this

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢$184.8k

MED rwo · 148d ago

Thunder vs. Spursmissed

BUY Thunder @ 41¢$177.0k

MED loulou2 · 148d ago

Trade this

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 67¢$173.7k

MED Vatrer · 148d ago

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Thunder @ 41¢$171.5k

MED LOSING surfandturf · 148d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 88¢$169.2k

MED aekghas · 148d ago

Trade this

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?called

BUY No @ 77¢$166.7k

MED aekghas · 148d ago

Trade this

Thunder vs. Spursmissed

BUY Thunder @ 41¢$164.0k

MED Sassy-Bucket · 148d ago

Trade this

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 96.3¢$162.0k

MED 08AF · 148d ago

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?called

BUY No @ 77¢$159.6k

MED aekghas · 148d ago

Trade this

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$119.1k

LOW JAHODA · 149d ago

Most traded markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

$3.06M · 41 flags

Thunder vs. Spurs

$2.95M · 60 flags

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

$469.9k · 3 flags

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

$361.4k · 5 flags

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$234.8k · 7 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

$152.7k · 4 flags