WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $177.0k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Spursmissed
$177.0k
BUY Thunder @ 41¢ · 431,687 shares
Size ≥ $100kSports

What happened

Wallet loulou2 took Thunder (buy) for $177.0k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $177.0k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
41¢
Implied odds
41.0%
As American odds
+144 no vig
Size
$177.0k
Placed
May 28, 14:17 EDT
Market close
May 28, 20:30 EDT
Result
Spurs
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
loulou2
Tx
0x87c33470…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-41.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -41 pts
Thunder price · entry 41¢ · resolved Spurs
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 41¢ · $177.0k WHALE $177.0K @ 41¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Thunder vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $83.1k
2.2× usual
0% 0x3dfb…abaf148d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $19.3k0% mirroredtrade-RocWins148d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursMED SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $184.8k
6.2× usual
0% rwo148d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $89.1k
3.1× usual
0% Malfunction.148d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ $234.8k
7.8× usual
100% rwo148d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. SpursLOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ $31.4k100% Jackenxand148d agoexcluded