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Thunder vs. Spursmissed
What this means. A wallet put $177.0k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$177.0k
BUY Thunder @ 41¢ · 431,687 shares
Size ≥ $100kSports
What happened
Wallet loulou2 took Thunder (buy) for $177.0k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $177.0k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 41.0%
- As American odds
- +144 no vig
- Size
- $177.0k
- Placed
- May 28, 14:17 EDT
- Market close
- May 28, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Spurs
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- loulou2
- Tx
- 0x87c33470…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-41.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -41 ptsThunder price · entry 41¢ · resolved Spurs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $83.1k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $19.3k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $184.8k 6.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $89.1k 3.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $234.8k 7.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Spurs @ 99.9¢ | $31.4k | excluded |