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What this means. A wallet put $1.02M on No, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.02M
BUY No @ 91.1¢ · 1,123,635 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite8 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh wallet8.7× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 0x0f02…5bfb took No (buy) for $1.02M at an average 91.1¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.02M+3
8 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1028American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91.1¢
- Implied odds
- 91.1%
- Size
- $1.02M
- Placed
- May 28, 01:08 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x0f02…5bfb
- Tx
- 0x6e137a0a…
This wallet's graded record
11/12-0.5 pts
expected 11.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +9 ptsNo price · entry 91.1¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $100.1k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |