Daily recap
Thursday, April 30, 2026
281 whale trades totalling $36.67M from 207 wallets. Biggest: $3.99M buy No on “US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?” at 99.8¢. 31 of 55 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 31.5 expected (-0.9 pts).
Whale trades
281
Volume
$36.67M
Wallets
207
Resolved edge
-0.9 pts
Biggest trades
Most traded markets
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$30.89M · 124 flags
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$2.01M · 43 flags
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$510.1k · 7 flags
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$481.0k · 10 flags
Rockets vs. Lakers$409.6k · 13 flags
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$285.2k · 5 flags
Resolved today
missed176d ago
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?
BUYYes@ 28¢→No
$68.2k · everydaymortgageimplied 28%
called210d ago
Netanyahu out by April 30?
BUYNo@ 96.6¢→No
$65.3k · SAPolitcsSeerimplied 97%
missed188d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
SELLNo@ 95¢→No
$59.3k · ArmageddonRewardsBillyimplied 5%
missed180d ago
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
SELLNo@ 96¢→No
$48.0k · pikachusplaceimplied 4%
missed181d ago
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
SELLNo@ 95.4¢→No
$45.8k · pikachusplaceimplied 5%
called197d ago
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
BUYNo@ 91¢→No
$42.5k · jocpoliticimplied 91%
WhaleGrader Pro · coming soon
Get these trades the moment it happens
Real-time alerts for your watchlist, consensus and fresh-wallet signals. Join the waitlist; no payment, no spam.