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What this means. A wallet put $48.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$48.0k
SELL No @ 96¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2.4× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet pikachusplace took No (sell) for $48.0k at an average 96¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $48.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96¢
- Implied odds
- 4.0%
- Size
- $48.0k
- Placed
- Apr 26, 07:29 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 30, 19:55 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- pikachusplace
- Tx
- 0x7e99ea8f…
This wallet's graded record
1/8-12.1 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -4 ptsNo price · entry 96¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.4k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $38.4k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $68.8k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $18.2k | excluded |