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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$1.17M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$118.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $15.55M volume · 5,634 trades · since Mar 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$118.3k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
63%
235 closed
Wallet age · markets
224d
210 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $379.0k 10.1× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $45.3k | excluded |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $99.8k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $294.8k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $45.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $199.6k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | LOW BUY No @ 51¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
 Pistons vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 45¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
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