Wednesday, April 1, 2026

339 whale trades totalling $26.50M from 240 wallets. Biggest: $3.83M buy No on “US forces enter Iran by March 31?” at 99.9¢. 21 of 38 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 22.1 expected (-2.8 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$3.83M 11.2× usual	100%	CAR-AyatollahVersion	205d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$2.46M 9.9× usual	100%	admiss	206d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$2.35M 4.4× usual	100%	METROPOLI	205d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$1.41M 7.1× usual	100%	BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb	205d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$999.0k 10.1× usual	0%	NotBakerMcKenzie	206d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$769.1k 2.1× usual	100%	Meso-	205d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 99.8¢	$480.5k	100%	Meso-	206d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$347.8k	100%	tongyiju	205d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	MED SELL No @ 99.6¢	$331.0k	0%	tongyiju	206d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$249.8k 3.2× usual	100%	0x095d…52cf	206d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$228.4k 8.1× usual	100%	95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965	205d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$198.0k 3.9× usual	99%	JAHODA	206d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$182.4k 10.0× usual	0%	TealV	206d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$175.1k	100%	TT.TT.TT	205d ago	excluded
Cavaliers vs. Lakers	LOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢	$173.0k 2.6× usual	0%	0x8a6c…0b3f	206d ago	excluded

US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$3.83M

LOW CAR-AyatollahVersion · 205d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$2.46M

LOW admiss · 206d ago

US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$2.35M

LOW METROPOLI · 205d ago

US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$1.41M

LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 205d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$999.0k

MED NotBakerMcKenzie · 206d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$769.1k

LOW Meso- · 205d ago

US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$480.5k

MED Meso- · 206d ago

US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$347.8k

MED tongyiju · 205d ago

US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$331.0k

MED tongyiju · 206d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$249.8k

LOW 0x095d…52cf · 206d ago

US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$228.4k

LOW 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965 · 205d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$198.0k

LOW JAHODA · 206d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$182.4k

LOW TealV · 206d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$175.1k

LOW TT.TT.TT · 205d ago

Cavaliers vs. Lakersexcluded

SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢$173.0k

LOW 0x8a6c…0b3f · 206d ago

Most traded markets

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

$11.98M · 75 flags

Netanyahu out by March 31?

$6.53M · 39 flags

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$896.9k · 40 flags

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

$830.6k · 31 flags

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

$793.2k · 22 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

$590.0k · 12 flags