← Live flags
Ducks vs. Sharksmissed
What this means. A wallet put $130.8k on Ducks, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Ducks vs. Sharksmissed$130.8k
BUY Ducks @ 49¢ · 264,692 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100k4 fills in 1h3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Mosley1 took Ducks (buy) for $130.8k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Sharks, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $130.8k+2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+102American odds
$1.00paid per share if Ducks wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.4%
- As American odds
- +102 no vig
- Size
- $130.8k
- Placed
- Apr 01, 20:59 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 01, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- Sharks
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Mosley1
- Tx
- 0xcd4c1aa5…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-8.5 pts
expected 2.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsDucks price · entry 49¢ · resolved Sharks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ducks vs. Sharks | LOW BUY Sharks @ 52¢ | $38.4k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | LOW BUY Ducks @ 50¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | LOW BUY Ducks @ 49¢ | $24.5k | missed |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | MED BUY Sharks @ 51¢ | $127.1k 4.4× usual |
called |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | LOW BUY Sharks @ 50¢ | $14.3k | called |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | LOW BUY Sharks @ 49¢ | $23.0k | called |