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What this means. A wallet put $61.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.0 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$61.9k
BUY No @ 82¢ · 75,294 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet2.6× this wallet's usual betCrypto
What happened
Wallet 0x8b4b…541b took No (buy) for $61.9k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $61.9k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−462American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 82.2%
- Size
- $61.9k
- Placed
- Mar 09, 02:25 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 01, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8b4b…541b
- Tx
- 0xb5c14428…
This wallet's graded record
18/22+1.0 pts
expected 17.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded |