Monday, March 16, 2026

325 whale trades totalling $7.09M from 186 wallets. Biggest: $155.1k sell No on “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?” at 99.7¢. 5 of 8 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 4.2 expected (+10.1 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.7¢	$155.1k 3.3× usual	0%	Oddinn	221d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 4.6¢	$152.2k	5%	dududududu22 NEW	221d ago	missed	Trade this
Netanyahu out by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 96.4¢	$139.3k 5.8× usual	96%	ImJustKen	221d ago	called	Trade this
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$123.3k	100%	Martiini	221d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	MED BUY No @ 97¢	$114.9k	97%	BrazilianMemer	222d ago	called	Trade this
Magic vs. Hawks	LOW SELL Hawks @ 99.9¢	$87.6k	0%	Latina	221d ago	excluded
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$77.1k	100%	Martiini	221d ago	excluded
Magic vs. Hawks	LOW BUY Hawks @ 99.9¢	$73.5k 2.6× usual	100%	Countrysid	221d ago	excluded
Magic vs. Hawks	LOW BUY Magic @ 43¢	$67.5k	43%	RealityTwister	221d ago	excluded
Magic vs. Hawks	LOW BUY Hawks @ 59¢	$65.0k	59%	mrmastermind	221d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$59.8k	100%	0x8db7…45ef	222d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$59.8k	100%	xukehu	222d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢	$57.2k 2.2× usual	97%	trevors4	221d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	LOW BUY No @ 72¢	$54.2k	72%	foodenjoyer	221d ago	called	Trade this
Magic vs. Hawks	LOW BUY Hawks @ 60¢	$52.6k	60%	Latina	221d ago	called	Trade this

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$155.1k

MED Oddinn · 221d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?missed

BUY Yes @ 4.6¢$152.2k

HIGH New wallet dududududu22 · 221d ago

Trade this

Netanyahu out by March 31?called

BUY No @ 96.4¢$139.3k

MED ImJustKen · 221d ago

Trade this

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$123.3k

LOW Martiini · 221d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?called

BUY No @ 97¢$114.9k

MED BrazilianMemer · 222d ago

Trade this

Magic vs. Hawksexcluded

SELL Hawks @ 99.9¢$87.6k

LOW Latina · 221d ago

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$77.1k

LOW Martiini · 221d ago

Magic vs. Hawksexcluded

BUY Hawks @ 99.9¢$73.5k

LOW Countrysid · 221d ago

Magic vs. Hawksexcluded

BUY Magic @ 43¢$67.5k

LOW RealityTwister · 221d ago

Magic vs. Hawksexcluded

BUY Hawks @ 59¢$65.0k

LOW mrmastermind · 221d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$59.8k

LOW 0x8db7…45ef · 222d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$59.8k

LOW xukehu · 222d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 97.3¢$57.2k

LOW trevors4 · 221d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 72¢$54.2k

LOW foodenjoyer · 221d ago

Trade this

Magic vs. Hawkscalled

BUY Hawks @ 60¢$52.6k

LOW Latina · 221d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$3.89M · 205 flags

Netanyahu out by March 31?

$976.5k · 30 flags

Magic vs. Hawks

$732.0k · 21 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$211.6k · 11 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$147.0k · 6 flags

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$123.3k · 1 flags