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Magic vs. Hawkscalled
What this means. A wallet put $22.9k on Hawks, at a price that gave it a 56% chance. It won. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.9k
BUY Hawks @ 56¢ · 40,852 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet CemeterySun took Hawks (buy) for $22.9k at an average 56¢. At that price the market implied a 56% chance for that side. The market resolved Hawks, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 56¢ means
56%chance the market gave
−127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Hawks wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 56¢
- Implied odds
- 56.0%
- As American odds
- −127 no vig
- Size
- $22.9k
- Placed
- Mar 16, 08:09 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 16, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Hawks
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- CemeterySun
- Tx
- 0x9c0a18ce…
This wallet's graded record
4/8+1.5 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +44 ptsHawks price · entry 56¢ · resolved Hawks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Hawks @ 99.9¢ | $87.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hawks @ 99.9¢ | $73.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hawks @ 99¢ | $21.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Magic @ 42¢ | $42.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hawks @ 59¢ | $65.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hawks @ 58¢ | $15.6k | excluded |