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What this means. A wallet put $152.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$152.2k
BUY Yes @ 4.6¢ · 3,291,783 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side6 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletOther
What happened
Wallet dududududu22 took Yes (buy) for $152.2k at an average 4.6¢. At that price the market implied a 5% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $152.2k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
6 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 5¢ means
5%chance the market gave
+2062American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 4.6¢
- Implied odds
- 4.6%
- Size
- $152.2k
- Placed
- Mar 16, 12:11 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- dududududu22
- Tx
- 0x66fc66f7…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-4.6 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $29.9k | excluded |