← Wallets
+$1,050No · avg 91.9¢ → 94.5¢ · $37.8k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$825No · avg 93¢ → 95.8¢ · $28.7k−$2,413Yes · avg 63¢ → 56¢ · $20.7k+$1,714No · avg 81¢ → 92¢ · $14.7k−$1,063Yes · avg 76¢ → 70¢ · $12.7k+$128Yes · avg 85¢ → 86¢ · $11.1k+$395No · avg 89¢ → 96.9¢ · $4,845−$25Yes · avg 92¢ → 91.5¢ · $4,575
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$422.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$83.5k
Last 30 days −$1,606 · $12.63M volume · 10,525 trades · since Jul 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$133.1k
Open P&L · 17 positions
+$855
Closed-position win rate
90%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
824d
550 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $49.6k | excluded |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $99.7k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
 Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $68.1k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $57.4k | excluded |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
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