Martiini

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$2No · avg 88¢ → 90¢ · $134 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$7No · avg 92¢ → 87¢ · $130 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$1Yes · avg 3¢ → 4¢ · $6

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$738.8k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$164.8k

Last 30 days −$1 · $12.61M volume · 146,629 trades · since Feb 22, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$735.6k

Open P&L · 347 positions

−$74.1k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

610d

1481 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$123.3k	100%	222d ago	excluded
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$77.1k	100%	222d ago	excluded
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	100%	293d ago	excluded
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	100%	293d ago	excluded
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	100%	293d ago	excluded
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	100%	293d ago	excluded
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	100%	293d ago	excluded
US recession in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$38.9k	100%	299d ago	excluded

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$123.3k

LOW Martiini · 222d ago

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$77.1k

LOW Martiini · 222d ago

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW Martiini · 293d ago

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW Martiini · 293d ago

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW Martiini · 293d ago

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW Martiini · 293d ago

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW Martiini · 293d ago

US recession in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$38.9k

LOW Martiini · 299d ago

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