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Magic vs. Hawkscalled
What this means. A wallet put $23.0k on Hawks, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.2 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.0k
BUY Hawks @ 59¢ · 38,966 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet c4c4 took Hawks (buy) for $23.0k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Hawks, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Hawks wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.0%
- As American odds
- −144 no vig
- Size
- $23.0k
- Placed
- Mar 16, 17:00 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 16, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Hawks
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- c4c4
- Tx
- 0x8e5f8161…
This wallet's graded record
14/20+8.2 pts
expected 12.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +41 ptsHawks price · entry 59¢ · resolved Hawks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Hawks @ 99.9¢ | $87.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hawks @ 99.9¢ | $73.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hawks @ 99¢ | $21.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Magic @ 42¢ | $42.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hawks @ 59¢ | $65.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Hawks @ 58¢ | $15.6k | excluded |