← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $155.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$155.1k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 155,600 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side5 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3.3× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet Oddinn took No (sell) for $155.1k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $155.1k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 0.3%
- Size
- $155.1k
- Placed
- Mar 16, 10:10 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Oddinn
- Tx
- 0xeaa9b584…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+16.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $159.5k 9.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $17.2k | excluded |