Saturday, February 28, 2026

846 whale trades totalling $30.73M from 500 wallets. Biggest: $511.1k buy Yes on “Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?” at 67¢. 47 of 103 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 55.4 expected (-8.1 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 67¢	$511.1k 12.7× usual	67%	auggl00p	237d ago	called	Trade this
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$477.2k 15.2× usual	100%	gmanas	238d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 95.5¢	$472.7k 21.9× usual	96%	ScottyNooo PROVEN	237d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$400.9k 8.0× usual	100%	elmcap2	237d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$373.2k 7.4× usual	100%	elmcap2	237d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.4¢	$357.8k 9.6× usual	1%	Erasmus. PROVEN	237d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	HIGH SELL Yes @ 95.6¢	$308.3k 15.4× usual	4%	SpaceNatureStone NEW	237d ago	excluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?	MED BUY Yes @ 58¢	$299.0k 7.4× usual	58%	auggl00p	237d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 95.4¢	$297.5k 16.5× usual	95%	wan123	237d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	MED SELL Yes @ 97.1¢	$255.9k 5.3× usual	3%	Curseaaaaaaaa	237d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$254.7k 8.3× usual	100%	ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD	237d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢	$246.8k 4.5× usual	98%	rdba	237d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	MED BUY Yes @ 90¢	$235.5k 4.7× usual	90%	elmcap2	238d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$222.0k	100%	BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb	238d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$208.1k 4.3× usual	100%	BrightStars	237d ago	excluded

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?called

BUY Yes @ 67¢$511.1k

HIGH auggl00p · 237d ago

Trade this

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$477.2k

LOW gmanas · 238d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 95.5¢$472.7k

HIGH PROVEN ScottyNooo · 237d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$400.9k

LOW elmcap2 · 237d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$373.2k

MED elmcap2 · 237d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.4¢$357.8k

MED PROVEN Erasmus. · 237d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

SELL Yes @ 95.6¢$308.3k

HIGH New wallet SpaceNatureStone · 237d ago

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 58¢$299.0k

MED auggl00p · 237d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 95.4¢$297.5k

HIGH wan123 · 237d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded

SELL Yes @ 97.1¢$255.9k

MED Curseaaaaaaaa · 237d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$254.7k

MED ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD · 237d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 98.5¢$246.8k

LOW rdba · 237d ago

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 90¢$235.5k

MED elmcap2 · 238d ago

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$222.0k

LOW BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb · 238d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$208.1k

LOW BrightStars · 237d ago

Most traded markets

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

$10.79M · 245 flags

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

$4.79M · 116 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$4.65M · 141 flags

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?

$1.79M · 40 flags

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?

$1.25M · 29 flags

Lakers vs. Warriors

$772.5k · 31 flags