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What this means. A wallet put $70.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It won. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$70.9k
BUY Yes @ 58¢ · 122,229 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet SecondWindCapital took Yes (buy) for $70.9k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $70.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- Size
- $70.9k
- Placed
- Feb 22, 13:18 EST
- Market close
- Feb 28, 04:34 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- SecondWindCapital
- Tx
- 0xe8e39d41…
This wallet's graded record
5/8+9.0 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +42 ptsYes price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $27.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $38.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $106.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |