Friday, February 20, 2026

145 whale trades totalling $5.00M from 101 wallets. Biggest: $576.5k buy No on “US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?” at 99.9¢. 2 of 2 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 1.7 expected (+16.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$576.5k 6.3× usual	100%	ClaudeAI	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$338.8k	100%	everbased	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$198.1k 2.2× usual	99%	ClaudeAI	245d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$121.1k 2.7× usual	100%	4gibg4i3o	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$118.4k	99%	ClaudeAI	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	MED SELL No @ 99.8¢	$112.3k 4.3× usual	0%	0xa9e8…c443	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 74¢	$99.5k 2.2× usual	74%	clawdtyw	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 77¢	$96.9k 5.2× usual	77%	Arbguy	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢	$94.6k	99%	0x5307…7621	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢	$91.6k 3.5× usual	98%	0xa9e8…c443	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢	$88.6k 4.5× usual	1%	whataplaya	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢	$78.5k	98%	0xd054…7e38	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$77.4k	99%	llllllllllllllllllllllll	246d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$75.7k	100%	4gibg4i3o	245d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢	$69.9k	99%	hjea	245d ago	excluded

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$576.5k

MED ClaudeAI · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$338.8k

LOW everbased · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$198.1k

LOW ClaudeAI · 245d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$121.1k

LOW 4gibg4i3o · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 98.7¢$118.4k

LOW ClaudeAI · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$112.3k

MED 0xa9e8…c443 · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 74¢$99.5k

MED clawdtyw · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 77¢$96.9k

LOW Arbguy · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 98.5¢$94.6k

LOW 0x5307…7621 · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 97.9¢$91.6k

LOW 0xa9e8…c443 · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 98.9¢$88.6k

LOW whataplaya · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 98.3¢$78.5k

LOW 0xd054…7e38 · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 98.7¢$77.4k

LOW llllllllllllllllllllllll · 246d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$75.7k

LOW 4gibg4i3o · 245d ago

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.1¢$69.9k

LOW hjea · 245d ago

Most traded markets

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

$2.47M · 37 flags

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

$517.9k · 13 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$231.0k · 14 flags

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

$189.2k · 6 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?

$181.6k · 5 flags

Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev

$134.6k · 7 flags