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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$225.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$400.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.16M volume · 230 trades · since Feb 13, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$385.8k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$10.9k
Closed-position win rate
40%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
253d
11 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $51.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 74¢ | $99.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $46.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x754d0d…