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What this means. A wallet put $51.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
$51.0k
BUY No @ 75¢ · 67,830 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet clawdtyw took No (buy) for $51.0k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $51.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−302American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
75¢
Implied odds
75.1%
Size
$51.0k
Placed
Feb 20, 11:56 EST
Market close
Jan 30, 19:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
clawdtyw
Tx
0xba09ce46…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $13.9k0% digitest238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $39.3k0% MajidJavadi238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $222.0k100% BenzoateOstylezeneBicarb238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $19.0k100% Hans323238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $22.9k0% Whylik238d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% lionss238d agoexcluded