Saturday, February 7, 2026

104 whale trades totalling $4.49M from 77 wallets. Biggest: $349.6k buy Yes on “US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?” at 99.9¢. 2 of 8 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 4.6 expected (-32.7 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$349.6k 2.1× usual	100%	lfg321	258d ago	excluded
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)	HIGH BUY Thunder @ 47¢	$317.6k	47%	0x4924…3782	258d ago	missed	Trade this
Seahawks vs. Patriots	HIGH BUY Patriots @ 33¢	$298.2k 7.6× usual	33%	0xa0f2…1848	258d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$249.7k 7.5× usual	100%	0xdf1b…b963	259d ago	excluded
Seahawks vs. Patriots	MED BUY Seahawks @ 69¢	$165.2k 4.2× usual	69%	0xa0f2…1848	258d ago	called	Trade this
Seahawks vs. Patriots	MED BUY Seahawks @ 68¢	$164.3k 4.2× usual	68%	geniusMC	258d ago	called	Trade this
Seahawks vs. Patriots	MED SELL Seahawks @ 67¢	$160.4k 4.1× usual	33%	0xa0f2…1848	258d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	MED BUY Yes @ 68¢	$128.0k	68%	0xae55…0f4b	258d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	HIGH SELL Yes @ 68¢	$124.0k 3.1× usual	32%	geniusMC	258d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢	$108.6k 3.4× usual	99%	wkmfa518	258d ago	excluded
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)	MED BUY Patriots @ 50¢	$100.0k	50%	hovanpavi	258d ago	missed	Trade this
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢	$92.8k 3.5× usual	99%	chungguskhan	259d ago	excluded
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.1¢	$92.6k 3.5× usual	1%	chungguskhan	258d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢	$85.5k 2.1× usual	99%	Pestle	258d ago	excluded
Seahawks vs. Patriots	LOW SELL Patriots @ 31¢	$76.0k	69%	0xa0f2…1848	258d ago	called	Trade this

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$349.6k

LOW lfg321 · 258d ago

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)missed

BUY Thunder @ 47¢$317.6k

HIGH 0x4924…3782 · 258d ago

Trade this

Seahawks vs. Patriotsmissed

BUY Patriots @ 33¢$298.2k

HIGH 0xa0f2…1848 · 258d ago

Trade this

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$249.7k

LOW 0xdf1b…b963 · 259d ago

Seahawks vs. Patriotscalled

BUY Seahawks @ 69¢$165.2k

MED 0xa0f2…1848 · 258d ago

Trade this

Seahawks vs. Patriotscalled

BUY Seahawks @ 68¢$164.3k

MED geniusMC · 258d ago

Trade this

Seahawks vs. Patriotsmissed

SELL Seahawks @ 67¢$160.4k

MED 0xa0f2…1848 · 258d ago

Trade this

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?called

BUY Yes @ 68¢$128.0k

MED 0xae55…0f4b · 258d ago

Trade this

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?missed

SELL Yes @ 68¢$124.0k

HIGH geniusMC · 258d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.1¢$108.6k

LOW wkmfa518 · 258d ago

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)missed

BUY Patriots @ 50¢$100.0k

MED hovanpavi · 258d ago

Trade this

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.3¢$92.8k

LOW chungguskhan · 259d ago

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.1¢$92.6k

LOW chungguskhan · 258d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.1¢$85.5k

LOW Pestle · 258d ago

Seahawks vs. Patriotscalled

SELL Patriots @ 31¢$76.0k

LOW 0xa0f2…1848 · 258d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Seahawks vs. Patriots

$1.14M · 17 flags

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

$621.9k · 9 flags

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)

$526.0k · 6 flags

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

$368.3k · 6 flags

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

$341.2k · 6 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$339.0k · 11 flags