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What this means. A wallet put $92.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$92.8k
BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ · 93,422 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)3.5× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet chungguskhan took Yes (buy) for $92.8k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $92.8k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $92.8k
- Placed
- Feb 07, 03:45 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 09:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- chungguskhan
- Tx
- 0x4e18ee45…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-24.4 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $46.6k | excluded |