← Wallets
−$16.8kYes · avg 29¢ → 17¢ · $23.1k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +2.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+2.6 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$86.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$35.9k
Last 30 days +$3,569 · $593.4k volume · 139 trades · since Jan 13, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$25.2k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$59.6k
Closed-position win rate
50%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
284d
12 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -19.8 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +25.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $33.4k | missed |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $42.6k | called |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7d8c02…