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Spread: Thunder (-4.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $317.6k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)missed$317.6k
BUY Thunder @ 47¢ · 676,392 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet 0x4924…3782 took Thunder (buy) for $317.6k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Rockets, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $317.6k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 46.9%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $317.6k
- Placed
- Feb 07, 10:21 EST
- Market close
- Feb 07, 15:30 EST
- Result
- Rockets
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4924…3782
- Tx
- 0xf7700054…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+2.5 pts
expected 5.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsThunder price · entry 47¢ · resolved Rockets
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | LOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ | $37.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | LOW BUY Rockets @ 52¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | LOW SELL Rockets @ 53¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | LOW BUY Rockets @ 49¢ | $58.6k | called |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | MED BUY Thunder @ 47¢ | $65.1k | missed |