Friday, January 16, 2026

425 whale trades totalling $7.17M from 230 wallets. Biggest: $215.4k buy No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.9¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$215.4k 5.2× usual	100%	Pestle	281d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$172.8k 4.2× usual	100%	Pestle	281d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.6¢	$157.3k	0%	0xb579…55ae	280d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$107.3k 2.6× usual	100%	Pestle	280d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$106.7k 2.6× usual	100%	Pestle	280d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95.6¢	$99.1k 2.9× usual	96%	hild	280d ago	called	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$81.2k	100%	Pestle	280d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$81.1k	100%	Pestle	280d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	LOW BUY No @ 91¢	$61.1k	91%	Alexparker	281d ago	called	Trade this
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	HIGH SELL No @ 93¢	$58.7k 2.7× usual	7%	scottilicious PROVEN	280d ago	missed	Trade this
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	LOW BUY No @ 93¢	$53.5k	93%	tsekinming01	280d ago	called	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95.5¢	$47.8k	96%	JAHODA	281d ago	called	Trade this
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$45.9k 2.3× usual	100%	UwO	280d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	MED BUY No @ 95.6¢	$45.3k	96%	aff3 PROVEN	280d ago	called	Trade this
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	LOW BUY No @ 92¢	$44.8k	92%	tsybka	280d ago	called	Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$215.4k

LOW Pestle · 281d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$172.8k

LOW Pestle · 281d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$157.3k

MED 0xb579…55ae · 280d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$107.3k

LOW Pestle · 280d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$106.7k

LOW Pestle · 280d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 95.6¢$99.1k

LOW hild · 280d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$81.2k

LOW Pestle · 280d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$81.1k

LOW Pestle · 280d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?called

BUY No @ 91¢$61.1k

LOW Alexparker · 281d ago

Trade this

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?missed

SELL No @ 93¢$58.7k

HIGH PROVEN scottilicious · 280d ago

Trade this

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?called

BUY No @ 93¢$53.5k

LOW tsekinming01 · 280d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 95.5¢$47.8k

LOW JAHODA · 281d ago

Trade this

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$45.9k

LOW UwO · 280d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?called

BUY No @ 95.6¢$45.3k

MED PROVEN aff3 · 280d ago

Trade this

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?called

BUY No @ 92¢$44.8k

LOW tsybka · 280d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$2.82M · 181 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$2.67M · 163 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$412.1k · 16 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

$382.4k · 14 flags

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

$207.1k · 11 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

$90.6k · 9 flags